Chelsea @ Arsenal

Sunday, September 6, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 79% confidence

Chelsea20%

Draw24%

Arsenal56%

Model Prediction

Arsenal

Confidence

79%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

ARS: 54/100ARS rated 91/100 vs CHE rated 86/100CHE: 46/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

ARS: 90/100ARS: 2.5 | CHE: 2.0CHE: 80/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

ARS: 73/100ARS: 1.0 | CHE: 1.3CHE: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

ARS: 61/100ARS home win rate: 72%CHE: 39/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

ARS: 43/100Form index — ARS: 86 | CHE: 97CHE: 57/100

Date

Sun, September 6, 2026

Network

USA Net