AFC Bournemouth @ Newcastle United

Saturday, September 5, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 83% confidence

AFC Bournemouth18%

Draw23%

Newcastle United59%

Model Prediction

Newcastle United

Confidence

83%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

NEW: 62/100NEW rated 80/100 vs BOU rated 65/100BOU: 38/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

NEW: 90/100NEW: 1.8 | BOU: 1.2BOU: 67/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

NEW: 78/100NEW: 1.3 | BOU: 1.8BOU: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

NEW: 58/100NEW home win rate: 60%BOU: 42/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

NEW: 47/100Form index — NEW: 71 | BOU: 75BOU: 53/100

Date

Sat, September 5, 2026

Network

USA Net