Manchester City @ Aston Villa

Saturday, October 24, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 78% confidence

Manchester City21%

Draw23%

Aston Villa56%

Model Prediction

Aston Villa

Confidence

78%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

AVL: 58/100AVL rated 80/100 vs MNC rated 70/100MNC: 42/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

AVL: 90/100AVL: 1.9 | MNC: 1.5MNC: 79/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

AVL: 57/100AVL: 1.4 | MNC: 1.5MNC: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

AVL: 61/100AVL home win rate: 59%MNC: 39/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

AVL: 59/100Form index — AVL: 79 | MNC: 66MNC: 41/100

Date

Sat, October 24, 2026

Network

USA Net