Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos projected to win thanks to superior scoring offense over Las Vegas Raiders. Model assigns a 91% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
LV
DENKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
LV
20.3
proj pts
Total O/U
44.3
pts
DEN
24
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Denver Broncos Offense
28.0 PPG vs Las Vegas Raiders (allows 20.0)
Las Vegas Raiders Offense
17.2 PPG vs Denver Broncos (allows 23.3)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Broncos -8.5
Total O/U
47.4
Upset %
-8990%
Momentum Score
Denver Broncos Edges
Home field advantage
Superior scoring offense (+10.8 PPG)
Better win percentage (50% vs 33%)
Las Vegas Raiders Edges
Suffocating defense (20.0 pts allowed)
Motivated road performance
Proven consistency in tough environments
Our model favors Denver Broncos by 8.5 points — look for value on the home side covering.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Las Vegas Raiders
Head Coach
Antonio Pierce
Starting QB
Gardner Minshew
efficient, game-management system built around protecting the football
aggressive, pressure-based defense designed to create short fields for the offense
Denver Broncos
Head Coach
Sean Payton
Starting QB
Bo Nix
creative, play-action system designed to leverage Nix's mobility and Payton's scheme ingenuity
physical, multiple-front defense that disrupts opposing offenses at the line
Key Players
Minshew's football IQ and ability to protect the ball give Las Vegas a functional offensive floor. He's at his best when the Raiders can establish the run.
Nix's mobility and arm strength give Denver an explosive offensive element when he's in rhythm. His development under Payton's system has been encouraging.
Adams' route running precision is elite. His ability to create separation against any coverage makes him the Raiders' most reliable offensive weapon.
Sutton's combination of size and contested-catch ability makes him Nix's most reliable downfield target.
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Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Week 16 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Denver Broncos to win the Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Week 16 2026 matchup with 91% confidence. The model gives the Denver Broncos a 91% win probability and the Las Vegas Raiders a 9% win probability.
When and where is the Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos game?+
The Las Vegas Raiders face the Denver Broncos on Sunday, December 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC, hosted at Empower Field. The game airs on CBS.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 16 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 91% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos game?+
The Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos Week 16 game is scheduled to air on CBS. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Dec 20, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
CBS
Venue
Empower Field