Detroit Lions @ Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams projected to win thanks to stronger defensive efficiency over Detroit Lions. Model assigns a 61% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
DET
LARKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
DET
25.3
proj pts
Total O/U
50.5
pts
LAR
25.2
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Los Angeles Rams Offense
19.7 PPG vs Detroit Lions (allows 30.7)
Detroit Lions Offense
35.3 PPG vs Los Angeles Rams (allows 15.2)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Lions -9.4
Total O/U
57.8
Upset %
-5980%
Momentum Score
Los Angeles Rams Edges
Home field advantage
Stronger pass defense (allows 15.2 vs 30.7)
Familiar game-day environment
Detroit Lions Edges
Dynamic scoring attack (+15.7 PPG edge)
Strong point differential (+4.7)
Our model favors Detroit Lions by 9.4 points against the spread despite playing on the road.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Detroit Lions
Head Coach
Dan Campbell
Starting QB
Jared Goff
physical, run-first attack that creates explosive passing opportunities off play-action
aggressive, assignment-sound defense that prioritizes stopping the run
Los Angeles Rams
Head Coach
Sean McVay
Starting QB
Matthew Stafford
innovative, motion-heavy passing attack with creative pre-snap movement
aggressive, disruptive front that creates havoc at every level
Key Players
Goff has evolved into one of the NFL's most accurate quarterbacks within Campbell's system. His ability to process quickly and deliver in rhythm makes the Lions' play-action passing game consistently explosive.
Stafford's experience and competitiveness make him valuable in high-stakes situations. His willingness to attack downfield gives the Rams an explosive element McVay leverages effectively.
St. Brown's ability to consistently create separation in the slot and convert on third downs has made him Goff's most reliable option. He leads the team in contested catch situations.
Kupp's route precision and ability to find open space in zone coverage make him Stafford's most reliable option on critical downs.
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Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams Week 1 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Los Angeles Rams to win the Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams Week 1 2026 matchup with 61% confidence. The model gives the Los Angeles Rams a 61% win probability and the Detroit Lions a 39% win probability.
When and where is the Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams game?+
The Detroit Lions face the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC, hosted at SoFi Stadium. The game airs on CBS.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 1 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 61% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams game?+
The Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams Week 1 game is scheduled to air on CBS. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 6, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
CBS
Venue
SoFi Stadium