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WEEK 13
FOXAI Prediction

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants

ML Prediction
64% confidence
DALNYG
64%36%

Dallas Cowboys projected to win thanks to superior scoring offense over New York Giants. Model assigns a 64% confidence to this outcome.

Win Probability

64%DAL wins
DAL 64%
NYG 36%

Team Profile

Dallas CowboysDAL
New York GiantsNYG

Key Factors

DALStatNYG
21.5
PPG (Off)DAL +3.2
18.3
24.8
PA/G (Def)DAL +2.3
27.2
-3.3
Point DiffDAL +5.5
-8.8
50%
Win RateDAL +33%
17%
6g
Games (Form)
6g
XGBoost · 300 trees · rolling 6-game windowModel accuracy: 61.8%

Game Projections

Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense

DAL

24.3

proj pts

Total O/U

45.9

pts

NYG

21.6

proj pts

Projected SpreadDAL -2.7

Scoring Edges

New York Giants Offense

18.3 PPG vs Dallas Cowboys (allows 24.8)

-6.5 pts/g

Dallas Cowboys Offense

21.5 PPG vs New York Giants (allows 27.2)

-5.7 pts/g

Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.

Analytics Breakdown

Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors

Proj Spread

Cowboys -5.9

Total O/U

41.8

Upset %

-3540%

Momentum Score

Dallas Cowboys52
New York Giants29

New York Giants Edges

Home field advantage

Familiar game-day environment

Dallas Cowboys Edges

Road warrior mentality (50% win rate)

Dynamic scoring attack (+3.2 PPG edge)

Suffocating defense (24.8 pts allowed)

Our model favors Dallas Cowboys by 5.9 points against the spread despite playing on the road.

Head-to-Head History

No recent matchup data available.

Injury Report

Latest injury designations from ESPN

No significant injuries reported

Team & Player Breakdown

Dallas CowboysNew York Giants
21.5Points Per Game18.3
24.8Points Allowed27.2
50%Win Rate17%

Dallas Cowboys

Head Coach

Mike McCarthy

Starting QB

Dak Prescott

balanced, spread-formation attack that leverages Prescott's arm and CeeDee Lamb's talent

aggressive, Micah Parsons-anchored defense that creates havoc in opposing backfields

Strength: CeeDee Lamb's ability to create mismatches against any cornerback in the league
Weakness: road performance in elimination games has been a persistent concern

New York Giants

Head Coach

Brian Daboll

Starting QB

Daniel Jones

run-first, physical attack designed to control the clock and protect the quarterback

multiple-front defense built around creating sacks and disrupting timing

Strength: Saquon Barkley's ability to create explosive plays as both a runner and receiver
Weakness: Jones' consistency in generating the downfield production needed to complement the run game

Key Players

Dak PrescottQB

Prescott's arm talent and ability to operate in a spread formation make him one of the NFC's most productive passers. He's at his best when the Cowboys can establish early success and build rhythm.

Daniel JonesQB

Jones' mobility and competitive drive give New York a quarterback capable of manufacturing plays outside of structure.

CeeDee LambWR

Lamb is one of the best receivers in football. His combination of route running, yards after catch, and contested-catch ability makes him nearly impossible to match up against with a single cornerback.

Darius SlaytonWR

Slayton's speed and ability to create vertical opportunities make him the Giants' most dangerous downfield threat.

Related Predictions

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Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants — Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win the Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Week 13 game?+

Our AI prediction model picks the Dallas Cowboys to win the Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Week 13 2026 matchup with 64% confidence. The model gives the New York Giants a 36% win probability and the Dallas Cowboys a 64% win probability.

When and where is the Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants game?+

The Dallas Cowboys face the New York Giants on Sunday, November 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC, hosted at MetLife Stadium. The game airs on FOX.

What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 13 prediction?+

Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 64% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.

What TV network is broadcasting the Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants game?+

The Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants Week 13 game is scheduled to air on FOX. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.

How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+

Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sun, Nov 29, 4:00 PM UTC

Network

FOX

Venue

MetLife Stadium