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WEEK 5
TBDAI PredictionWisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 72% confidence
Penn State Nittany LionsWIN PROBABILITYWisconsin Badgers
59%
41%
MODEL PICK
Penn State Nittany Lions
CONFIDENCE
72%
4
Home Edge
3
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Lions 80/10067/100 Badgers
Penn State Nittany Lions
80/100 — 60-18 over 6 seasons
Wisconsin Badgers
67/100 — 43-30 over 6 seasons
Penn State Nittany Lions rates 80/100 vs Wisconsin Badgers at 67/100 — a 13-point gap in program quality.
Lions 0/1000/100 Badgers
Penn State Nittany Lions
0-0 (0% win rate)
Wisconsin Badgers
0-0 (0% win rate)
Penn State Nittany Lions is 0-0 vs Wisconsin Badgers at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
5–1
2024
Lions wins31 – 26
2023
Lions wins24 – 14
2022
Lions wins27 – 10
2021
Badgers wins46 – 27
2020
Lions wins24 – 14
2019
Lions wins24 – 8
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Penn State Nittany Lions
60-18 overall2019
11-3AP #7
2020
4-5
2021
11-2AP #4
2022
11-2AP #7
2023
10-3AP #10
2024
13-3AP #4
AP Ranked in 5 of 6 seasons
Wisconsin Badgers
43-30 overall2019
10-4AP #13
2020
4-3
2021
9-4AP #8
2022
7-6
2023
7-6
2024
6-7
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Beaver Stadium