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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
ACC ExtraAI PredictionW&M @ DUKE
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence
Duke Blue DevilsWIN PROBABILITYWilliam & Mary Tribe
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
Duke Blue Devils
CONFIDENCE
53%
1
Home Edge
6
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Devils 50/10050/100 Tribe
Duke Blue Devils
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
William & Mary Tribe
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
DUKE rates 50/100 vs W&M at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Devils 0/1000/100 Tribe
Duke Blue Devils
0-0 (0% win rate)
William & Mary Tribe
0-0 (0% win rate)
DUKE is 0-0 vs W&M at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
W&M wins23 – 18
2023
DUKE wins24 – 13
2022
W&M wins27 – 17
2021
W&M wins22 – 8
2020
DUKE wins37 – 19
2019
DUKE wins29 – 12
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Duke Blue Devils
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
William & Mary Tribe
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 7:30 PM UTC
Network
ACC Extra
Stadium
Unknown Stadium