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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPN+AI PredictionWES @ ARST
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Arkansas State Red WolvesWIN PROBABILITYWest Georgia Wolves
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Arkansas State Red Wolves
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Wolves 50/10050/100 Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
West Georgia Wolves
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
ARST rates 50/100 vs WES at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Wolves 0/1000/100 Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves
0-0 (0% win rate)
West Georgia Wolves
0-0 (0% win rate)
ARST is 0-0 vs WES at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
WES wins36 – 14
2023
ARST wins39 – 25
2022
ARST wins36 – 12
2021
ARST wins44 – 19
2020
WES wins35 – 23
2019
ARST wins25 – 9
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Arkansas State Red Wolves
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
West Georgia Wolves
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium