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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPN+AI PredictionWAG @ JMU
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence
James Madison DukesWIN PROBABILITYWagner Seahawks
48%
52%
MODEL PICK
Wagner Seahawks
CONFIDENCE
55%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Dukes 50/10050/100 Seahawks
James Madison Dukes
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Wagner Seahawks
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
JMU rates 50/100 vs WAG at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Dukes 0/1000/100 Seahawks
James Madison Dukes
0-0 (0% win rate)
Wagner Seahawks
0-0 (0% win rate)
JMU is 0-0 vs WAG at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
WAG wins27 – 24
2023
WAG wins26 – 13
2022
JMU wins48 – 34
2021
WAG wins45 – 41
2020
WAG wins34 – 10
2019
JMU wins33 – 17
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
James Madison Dukes
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Wagner Seahawks
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 7:30 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium