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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 11
TBDAI PredictionVAN @ MSST
Saturday, November 7, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 62% confidence
Mississippi State BulldogsWIN PROBABILITYVanderbilt Commodores
45%
55%
MODEL PICK
Vanderbilt Commodores
CONFIDENCE
62%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Bulldogs 50/10050/100 Commodores
Mississippi State Bulldogs
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Vanderbilt Commodores
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
MSST rates 50/100 vs VAN at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Bulldogs 0/1000/100 Commodores
Mississippi State Bulldogs
0-0 (0% win rate)
Vanderbilt Commodores
0-0 (0% win rate)
MSST is 0-0 vs VAN at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
1–5
2024
VAN wins38 – 22
2023
VAN wins29 – 10
2022
VAN wins37 – 28
2021
VAN wins45 – 28
2020
MSST wins35 – 31
2019
VAN wins39 – 25
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Mississippi State Bulldogs
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Vanderbilt Commodores
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Unknown Stadium