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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
SECN+AI Prediction

UTSA @ Texas Longhorns

Sunday, September 20, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 85% confidence

Texas LonghornsWIN PROBABILITYUTSA Roadrunners
65%
35%

MODEL PICK

Texas Longhorns

CONFIDENCE

85%

5

Home Edge

2

Neutral

0

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Longhorns 79/10050/100 Roadrunners

Texas Longhorns

79/100 — 53-25 over 6 seasons

UTSA Roadrunners

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

Texas Longhorns rates 79/100 vs UTSA at 50/100 — a 29-point gap in program quality.

Longhorns 0/1000/100 Roadrunners

Texas Longhorns

0-0 (0% win rate)

UTSA Roadrunners

0-0 (0% win rate)

Texas Longhorns is 0-0 vs UTSA at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

51
2024
Longhorns wins3126
2023
Longhorns wins2414
2022
Longhorns wins2710
2021
UTSA wins4627
2020
Longhorns wins2414
2019
Longhorns wins248

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Texas Longhorns

53-25 overall
2019
8-5
2020
7-3
2021
5-7
2022
8-5
2023
12-2AP #3
2024
13-3AP #5

AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons

UTSA Roadrunners

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 AM UTC

Network

SECN+

Stadium

Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium