Back to CFB Predictions
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
SECN+AI PredictionUTSA @ Texas Longhorns
Sunday, September 20, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 85% confidence
Texas LonghornsWIN PROBABILITYUTSA Roadrunners
65%
35%
MODEL PICK
Texas Longhorns
CONFIDENCE
85%
5
Home Edge
2
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Longhorns 79/10050/100 Roadrunners
Texas Longhorns
79/100 — 53-25 over 6 seasons
UTSA Roadrunners
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Texas Longhorns rates 79/100 vs UTSA at 50/100 — a 29-point gap in program quality.
Longhorns 0/1000/100 Roadrunners
Texas Longhorns
0-0 (0% win rate)
UTSA Roadrunners
0-0 (0% win rate)
Texas Longhorns is 0-0 vs UTSA at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
5–1
2024
Longhorns wins31 – 26
2023
Longhorns wins24 – 14
2022
Longhorns wins27 – 10
2021
UTSA wins46 – 27
2020
Longhorns wins24 – 14
2019
Longhorns wins24 – 8
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Texas Longhorns
53-25 overall2019
8-5
2020
7-3
2021
5-7
2022
8-5
2023
12-2AP #3
2024
13-3AP #5
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
UTSA Roadrunners
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 AM UTC
Network
SECN+
Stadium
Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium