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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 6
MW+AI PredictionUTEP @ UNM
Saturday, October 3, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
New Mexico LobosWIN PROBABILITYUTEP Miners
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
New Mexico Lobos
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Lobos 50/10050/100 Miners
New Mexico Lobos
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
UTEP Miners
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
UNM rates 50/100 vs UTEP at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Lobos 0/1000/100 Miners
New Mexico Lobos
0-0 (0% win rate)
UTEP Miners
0-0 (0% win rate)
UNM is 0-0 vs UTEP at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
UTEP wins31 – 26
2023
UNM wins24 – 14
2022
UNM wins27 – 10
2021
UTEP wins46 – 27
2020
UNM wins24 – 14
2019
UNM wins24 – 8
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
New Mexico Lobos
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
UTEP Miners
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
MW+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium