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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI PredictionUtah Utes @ Iowa State Cyclones
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 56% confidence
Iowa State CyclonesWIN PROBABILITYUtah Utes
48%
52%
MODEL PICK
Utah Utes
CONFIDENCE
56%
1
Home Edge
4
Neutral
2
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Cyclones 60/10071/100 Utes
Iowa State Cyclones
60/100 — 41-34 over 6 seasons
Utah Utes
71/100 — 48-25 over 6 seasons
Iowa State Cyclones rates 60/100 vs Utah Utes at 71/100 — a 11-point gap in program quality.
Cyclones 0/1000/100 Utes
Iowa State Cyclones
0-0 (0% win rate)
Utah Utes
0-0 (0% win rate)
Iowa State Cyclones is 0-0 vs Utah Utes at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
Utes wins31 – 23
2023
Utes wins44 – 11
2022
Utes wins35 – 12
2021
Cyclones wins48 – 15
2020
Cyclones wins31 – 9
2019
Utes wins39 – 25
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Iowa State Cyclones
41-34 overall2019
7-6
2020
9-3AP #10
2021
7-6
2022
4-8
2023
7-5
2024
7-6
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
Utah Utes
48-25 overall2019
11-3AP #7
2020
3-3
2021
11-3AP #8
2022
10-4AP #5
2023
8-5
2024
5-7
AP Ranked in 3 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Jack Trice Stadium