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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI Prediction

Utah Utes @ Iowa State Cyclones

Saturday, September 26, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 56% confidence

Iowa State CyclonesWIN PROBABILITYUtah Utes
48%
52%

MODEL PICK

Utah Utes

CONFIDENCE

56%

1

Home Edge

4

Neutral

2

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Cyclones 60/10071/100 Utes

Iowa State Cyclones

60/100 — 41-34 over 6 seasons

Utah Utes

71/100 — 48-25 over 6 seasons

Iowa State Cyclones rates 60/100 vs Utah Utes at 71/100 — a 11-point gap in program quality.

Cyclones 0/1000/100 Utes

Iowa State Cyclones

0-0 (0% win rate)

Utah Utes

0-0 (0% win rate)

Iowa State Cyclones is 0-0 vs Utah Utes at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

24
2024
Utes wins3123
2023
Utes wins4411
2022
Utes wins3512
2021
Cyclones wins4815
2020
Cyclones wins319
2019
Utes wins3925

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Iowa State Cyclones

41-34 overall
2019
7-6
2020
9-3AP #10
2021
7-6
2022
4-8
2023
7-5
2024
7-6

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

Utah Utes

48-25 overall
2019
11-3AP #7
2020
3-3
2021
11-3AP #8
2022
10-4AP #5
2023
8-5
2024
5-7

AP Ranked in 3 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC

Network

TBD

Stadium

Jack Trice Stadium