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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
FOXAI PredictionUSU @ Utah Utes
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 62% confidence
Utah UtesWIN PROBABILITYUtah State Aggies
55%
45%
MODEL PICK
Utah Utes
CONFIDENCE
62%
4
Home Edge
2
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Utes 71/10050/100 Aggies
Utah Utes
71/100 — 48-25 over 6 seasons
Utah State Aggies
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Utah Utes rates 71/100 vs USU at 50/100 — a 21-point gap in program quality.
Utes 0/1000/100 Aggies
Utah Utes
0-0 (0% win rate)
Utah State Aggies
0-0 (0% win rate)
Utah Utes is 0-0 vs USU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
USU wins26 – 13
2023
USU wins30 – 13
2022
USU wins27 – 9
2021
Utes wins44 – 34
2020
USU wins31 – 20
2019
Utes wins26 – 10
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Utah Utes
48-25 overall2019
11-3AP #7
2020
3-3
2021
11-3AP #8
2022
10-4AP #5
2023
8-5
2024
5-7
AP Ranked in 3 of 6 seasons
Utah State Aggies
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 7:30 PM UTC
Network
FOX
Stadium
Rice-Eccles Stadium