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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
FOXAI Prediction

USU @ Utah Utes

Saturday, September 19, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 62% confidence

Utah UtesWIN PROBABILITYUtah State Aggies
55%
45%

MODEL PICK

Utah Utes

CONFIDENCE

62%

4

Home Edge

2

Neutral

1

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Utes 71/10050/100 Aggies

Utah Utes

71/100 — 48-25 over 6 seasons

Utah State Aggies

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

Utah Utes rates 71/100 vs USU at 50/100 — a 21-point gap in program quality.

Utes 0/1000/100 Aggies

Utah Utes

0-0 (0% win rate)

Utah State Aggies

0-0 (0% win rate)

Utah Utes is 0-0 vs USU at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

24
2024
USU wins2613
2023
USU wins3013
2022
USU wins279
2021
Utes wins4434
2020
USU wins3120
2019
Utes wins2610

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Utah Utes

48-25 overall
2019
11-3AP #7
2020
3-3
2021
11-3AP #8
2022
10-4AP #5
2023
8-5
2024
5-7

AP Ranked in 3 of 6 seasons

Utah State Aggies

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 19, 7:30 PM UTC

Network

FOX

Stadium

Rice-Eccles Stadium