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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 2
ESPN+AI PredictionRGV @ UTSA
Saturday, September 5, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 62% confidence
UTSA RoadrunnersWIN PROBABILITYUT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
45%
55%
MODEL PICK
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
CONFIDENCE
62%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Roadrunners 50/10050/100 Vaqueros
UTSA Roadrunners
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
UTSA rates 50/100 vs RGV at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Roadrunners 0/1000/100 Vaqueros
UTSA Roadrunners
0-0 (0% win rate)
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
0-0 (0% win rate)
UTSA is 0-0 vs RGV at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
1–5
2024
RGV wins38 – 22
2023
RGV wins29 – 10
2022
RGV wins37 – 28
2021
RGV wins45 – 28
2020
UTSA wins35 – 31
2019
RGV wins39 – 25
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
UTSA Roadrunners
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5, 7:30 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium