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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPN+AI Prediction

UTM @ WVU

Saturday, September 12, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 67% confidence

West Virginia MountaineersWIN PROBABILITYUT Martin Skyhawks
57%
43%

MODEL PICK

West Virginia Mountaineers

CONFIDENCE

67%

2

Home Edge

5

Neutral

0

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Mountaineers 50/10050/100 Skyhawks

West Virginia Mountaineers

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

UT Martin Skyhawks

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

WVU rates 50/100 vs UTM at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.

Mountaineers 0/1000/100 Skyhawks

West Virginia Mountaineers

0-0 (0% win rate)

UT Martin Skyhawks

0-0 (0% win rate)

WVU is 0-0 vs UTM at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

51
2024
WVU wins3516
2023
WVU wins3917
2022
WVU wins3723
2021
WVU wins2611
2020
WVU wins4433
2019
UTM wins3621

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

West Virginia Mountaineers

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

UT Martin Skyhawks

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 12, 5:00 PM UTC

Network

ESPN+

Stadium

Unknown Stadium