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WEEK 7
TBDAI PredictionUSC Trojans @ Penn State Nittany Lions
Saturday, October 10, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 61% confidence
Penn State Nittany LionsWIN PROBABILITYUSC Trojans
55%
45%
MODEL PICK
Penn State Nittany Lions
CONFIDENCE
61%
3
Home Edge
3
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Lions 80/10075/100 Trojans
Penn State Nittany Lions
80/100 — 60-18 over 6 seasons
USC Trojans
75/100 — 47-25 over 6 seasons
Penn State Nittany Lions rates 80/100 vs USC Trojans at 75/100 — a 5-point gap in program quality.
Lions 0/1000/100 Trojans
Penn State Nittany Lions
0-0 (0% win rate)
USC Trojans
0-0 (0% win rate)
Penn State Nittany Lions is 0-0 vs USC Trojans at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
Lions wins39 – 28
2023
Trojans wins32 – 10
2022
Trojans wins42 – 30
2021
Lions wins28 – 22
2020
Lions wins26 – 12
2019
Lions wins22 – 7
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Penn State Nittany Lions
60-18 overall2019
11-3AP #7
2020
4-5
2021
11-2AP #4
2022
11-2AP #7
2023
10-3AP #10
2024
13-3AP #4
AP Ranked in 5 of 6 seasons
USC Trojans
47-25 overall2019
5-7
2020
5-1
2021
11-3AP #7
2022
11-3AP #5
2023
8-5
2024
7-6
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Beaver Stadium