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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPNUAI PredictionUNLV @ UNT
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence
North Texas Mean GreenWIN PROBABILITYUNLV Rebels
48%
52%
MODEL PICK
UNLV Rebels
CONFIDENCE
55%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Green 50/10050/100 Rebels
North Texas Mean Green
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
UNLV Rebels
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
UNT rates 50/100 vs UNLV at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Green 0/1000/100 Rebels
North Texas Mean Green
0-0 (0% win rate)
UNLV Rebels
0-0 (0% win rate)
UNT is 0-0 vs UNLV at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
UNLV wins26 – 17
2023
UNLV wins26 – 14
2022
UNLV wins30 – 14
2021
UNT wins27 – 18
2020
UNLV wins44 – 20
2019
UNT wins31 – 14
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
North Texas Mean Green
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
UNLV Rebels
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 7:45 PM UTC
Network
ESPNU
Stadium
Unknown Stadium