Back to CFB Predictions
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 2
ESPNUAI PredictionULM @ MSST
Saturday, September 5, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Mississippi State BulldogsWIN PROBABILITYUL Monroe Warhawks
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Mississippi State Bulldogs
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Bulldogs 50/10050/100 Warhawks
Mississippi State Bulldogs
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
UL Monroe Warhawks
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
MSST rates 50/100 vs ULM at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Bulldogs 0/1000/100 Warhawks
Mississippi State Bulldogs
0-0 (0% win rate)
UL Monroe Warhawks
0-0 (0% win rate)
MSST is 0-0 vs ULM at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
MSST wins37 – 11
2023
ULM wins29 – 15
2022
MSST wins27 – 7
2021
MSST wins39 – 31
2020
MSST wins32 – 25
2019
ULM wins42 – 31
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Mississippi State Bulldogs
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
UL Monroe Warhawks
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5, 11:30 PM UTC
Network
ESPNU
Stadium
Unknown Stadium