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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 11
TBDAI PredictionTOL @ SAC
Wednesday, November 4, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Sacramento State HornetsWIN PROBABILITYToledo Rockets
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Sacramento State Hornets
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Hornets 50/10050/100 Rockets
Sacramento State Hornets
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Toledo Rockets
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
SAC rates 50/100 vs TOL at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Hornets 0/1000/100 Rockets
Sacramento State Hornets
0-0 (0% win rate)
Toledo Rockets
0-0 (0% win rate)
SAC is 0-0 vs TOL at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
SAC wins22 – 8
2023
SAC wins40 – 30
2022
TOL wins49 – 15
2021
SAC wins44 – 37
2020
TOL wins36 – 12
2019
SAC wins32 – 16
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Sacramento State Hornets
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Toledo Rockets
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Wed, Nov 4, 5:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Unknown Stadium