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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 10
ESPN UnlmtdAI PredictionTXST @ BOIS
Sunday, November 1, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Boise State BroncosWIN PROBABILITYTexas State Bobcats
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Boise State Broncos
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Broncos 50/10050/100 Bobcats
Boise State Broncos
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Texas State Bobcats
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
BOIS rates 50/100 vs TXST at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Broncos 0/1000/100 Bobcats
Boise State Broncos
0-0 (0% win rate)
Texas State Bobcats
0-0 (0% win rate)
BOIS is 0-0 vs TXST at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
BOIS wins39 – 18
2023
BOIS wins44 – 28
2022
BOIS wins32 – 13
2021
TXST wins23 – 11
2020
TXST wins22 – 15
2019
BOIS wins34 – 18
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Boise State Broncos
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Texas State Bobcats
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Network
ESPN Unlmtd
Stadium
Unknown Stadium