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WEEK 5
TBDAI Prediction

Texas Longhorns @ Tennessee Volunteers

Saturday, September 26, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 52% confidence

Tennessee VolunteersWIN PROBABILITYTexas Longhorns
51%
49%

MODEL PICK

Tennessee Volunteers

CONFIDENCE

52%

1

Home Edge

5

Neutral

1

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Volunteers 72/10079/100 Longhorns

Tennessee Volunteers

72/100 — 44-28 over 6 seasons

Texas Longhorns

79/100 — 53-25 over 6 seasons

Tennessee Volunteers rates 72/100 vs Texas Longhorns at 79/100 — a 7-point gap in program quality.

Volunteers 0/1000/100 Longhorns

Tennessee Volunteers

0-0 (0% win rate)

Texas Longhorns

0-0 (0% win rate)

Tennessee Volunteers is 0-0 vs Texas Longhorns at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

33
2024
Longhorns wins2415
2023
Volunteers wins4324
2022
Longhorns wins328
2021
Volunteers wins3933
2020
Volunteers wins3117
2019
Longhorns wins3824

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Tennessee Volunteers

44-28 overall
2019
3-7
2020
3-7
2021
8-4
2022
11-2AP #6
2023
9-4AP #5
2024
10-4AP #6

AP Ranked in 3 of 6 seasons

Texas Longhorns

53-25 overall
2019
8-5
2020
7-3
2021
5-7
2022
8-5
2023
12-2AP #3
2024
13-3AP #5

AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM UTC

Network

TBD

Stadium

Neyland Stadium