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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI PredictionTexas Longhorns @ Tennessee Volunteers
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 52% confidence
Tennessee VolunteersWIN PROBABILITYTexas Longhorns
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
Tennessee Volunteers
CONFIDENCE
52%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Volunteers 72/10079/100 Longhorns
Tennessee Volunteers
72/100 — 44-28 over 6 seasons
Texas Longhorns
79/100 — 53-25 over 6 seasons
Tennessee Volunteers rates 72/100 vs Texas Longhorns at 79/100 — a 7-point gap in program quality.
Volunteers 0/1000/100 Longhorns
Tennessee Volunteers
0-0 (0% win rate)
Texas Longhorns
0-0 (0% win rate)
Tennessee Volunteers is 0-0 vs Texas Longhorns at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
Longhorns wins24 – 15
2023
Volunteers wins43 – 24
2022
Longhorns wins32 – 8
2021
Volunteers wins39 – 33
2020
Volunteers wins31 – 17
2019
Longhorns wins38 – 24
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Tennessee Volunteers
44-28 overall2019
3-7
2020
3-7
2021
8-4
2022
11-2AP #6
2023
9-4AP #5
2024
10-4AP #6
AP Ranked in 3 of 6 seasons
Texas Longhorns
53-25 overall2019
8-5
2020
7-3
2021
5-7
2022
8-5
2023
12-2AP #3
2024
13-3AP #5
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Neyland Stadium