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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
FOXAI PredictionTexas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 54% confidence
Oklahoma SoonersWIN PROBABILITYTexas Longhorns
52%
48%
MODEL PICK
Oklahoma Sooners
CONFIDENCE
54%
3
Home Edge
3
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Sooners 80/10079/100 Longhorns
Oklahoma Sooners
80/100 — 54-23 over 6 seasons
Texas Longhorns
79/100 — 53-25 over 6 seasons
Oklahoma Sooners rates 80/100 vs Texas Longhorns at 79/100 — a 1-point gap in program quality.
Sooners 46/10081/100 Longhorns
Oklahoma Sooners
6-7 (46% win rate)
Texas Longhorns
13-3 (81% win rate)
Oklahoma Sooners is 6-7 vs Texas Longhorns at 13-3 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
Sooners wins22 – 14
2023
Longhorns wins44 – 14
2022
Longhorns wins34 – 15
2021
Sooners wins23 – 15
2020
Sooners wins25 – 9
2019
Sooners wins35 – 20
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Oklahoma Sooners
54-23 overall2019
12-2AP #4
2020
9-2AP #5
2021
11-2AP #3
2022
6-7
2023
10-3AP #11
2024
6-7
AP Ranked in 4 of 6 seasons
Texas Longhorns
53-25 overall2019
8-5
2020
7-3
2021
5-7
2022
8-5
2023
12-2AP #3
2024
13-3AP #5
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 11:30 PM UTC
Network
FOX
Stadium
Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium