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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
ESPN+AI PredictionSTO @ MASS
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence
Massachusetts MinutemenWIN PROBABILITYStonehill Skyhawks
48%
52%
MODEL PICK
Stonehill Skyhawks
CONFIDENCE
55%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Minutemen 50/10050/100 Skyhawks
Massachusetts Minutemen
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Stonehill Skyhawks
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
MASS rates 50/100 vs STO at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Minutemen 0/1000/100 Skyhawks
Massachusetts Minutemen
0-0 (0% win rate)
Stonehill Skyhawks
0-0 (0% win rate)
MASS is 0-0 vs STO at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
STO wins42 – 22
2023
STO wins39 – 22
2022
MASS wins43 – 29
2021
MASS wins25 – 19
2020
STO wins34 – 10
2019
STO wins44 – 35
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Massachusetts Minutemen
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Stonehill Skyhawks
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 7:30 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium