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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
ESPN UnlmtdAI PredictionSTAN @ DUKE
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence
Duke Blue DevilsWIN PROBABILITYStanford Cardinal
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
Duke Blue Devils
CONFIDENCE
53%
1
Home Edge
6
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Devils 50/10050/100 Cardinal
Duke Blue Devils
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Stanford Cardinal
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
DUKE rates 50/100 vs STAN at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Devils 0/1000/100 Cardinal
Duke Blue Devils
0-0 (0% win rate)
Stanford Cardinal
0-0 (0% win rate)
DUKE is 0-0 vs STAN at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
STAN wins45 – 35
2023
STAN wins30 – 20
2022
DUKE wins22 – 9
2021
DUKE wins33 – 19
2020
DUKE wins38 – 12
2019
STAN wins43 – 33
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Duke Blue Devils
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Stanford Cardinal
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 8:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN Unlmtd
Stadium
Unknown Stadium