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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 7
ESPN2AI PredictionUSM @ TROY
Wednesday, October 7, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence
Troy TrojansWIN PROBABILITYSouthern Miss Golden Eagles
48%
52%
MODEL PICK
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
CONFIDENCE
55%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Trojans 50/10050/100 Eagles
Troy Trojans
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
TROY rates 50/100 vs USM at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Trojans 0/1000/100 Eagles
Troy Trojans
0-0 (0% win rate)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
0-0 (0% win rate)
TROY is 0-0 vs USM at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
TROY wins31 – 13
2023
USM wins41 – 14
2022
USM wins36 – 22
2021
USM wins39 – 7
2020
TROY wins36 – 18
2019
USM wins44 – 35
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Troy Trojans
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Wed, Oct 7, 12:00 AM UTC
Network
ESPN2
Stadium
Unknown Stadium