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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
TBDAI PredictionUSM @ Auburn Tigers
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 59% confidence
Auburn TigersWIN PROBABILITYSouthern Miss Golden Eagles
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Auburn Tigers
CONFIDENCE
59%
3
Home Edge
3
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Tigers 68/10050/100 Eagles
Auburn Tigers
68/100 — 35-37 over 6 seasons
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Auburn Tigers rates 68/100 vs USM at 50/100 — a 18-point gap in program quality.
Tigers 0/1000/100 Eagles
Auburn Tigers
0-0 (0% win rate)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
0-0 (0% win rate)
Auburn Tigers is 0-0 vs USM at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
Tigers wins38 – 26
2023
USM wins46 – 13
2022
USM wins29 – 18
2021
USM wins26 – 16
2020
Tigers wins39 – 33
2019
USM wins46 – 39
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Auburn Tigers
35-37 overall2019
7-5
2020
6-5
2021
6-6
2022
5-7
2023
6-7
2024
5-7
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 11:30 PM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Jordan-Hare Stadium