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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
TBDAI Prediction

USM @ Auburn Tigers

Saturday, September 12, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 59% confidence

Auburn TigersWIN PROBABILITYSouthern Miss Golden Eagles
54%
46%

MODEL PICK

Auburn Tigers

CONFIDENCE

59%

3

Home Edge

3

Neutral

1

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Tigers 68/10050/100 Eagles

Auburn Tigers

68/100 — 35-37 over 6 seasons

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

Auburn Tigers rates 68/100 vs USM at 50/100 — a 18-point gap in program quality.

Tigers 0/1000/100 Eagles

Auburn Tigers

0-0 (0% win rate)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

0-0 (0% win rate)

Auburn Tigers is 0-0 vs USM at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

24
2024
Tigers wins3826
2023
USM wins4613
2022
USM wins2918
2021
USM wins2616
2020
Tigers wins3933
2019
USM wins4639

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Auburn Tigers

35-37 overall
2019
7-5
2020
6-5
2021
6-6
2022
5-7
2023
6-7
2024
5-7

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 12, 11:30 PM UTC

Network

TBD

Stadium

Jordan-Hare Stadium