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WEEK 4
PeacockAI PredictionSIU @ Illinois Fighting Illini
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 54% confidence
Illinois Fighting IlliniWIN PROBABILITYSouthern Illinois Salukis
48%
52%
MODEL PICK
Southern Illinois Salukis
CONFIDENCE
54%
4
Home Edge
2
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Illini 55/10050/100 Salukis
Illinois Fighting Illini
55/100 — 35-36 over 6 seasons
Southern Illinois Salukis
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Illinois Fighting Illini rates 55/100 vs SIU at 50/100 — a 5-point gap in program quality.
Illini 0/1000/100 Salukis
Illinois Fighting Illini
0-0 (0% win rate)
Southern Illinois Salukis
0-0 (0% win rate)
Illinois Fighting Illini is 0-0 vs SIU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
1–5
2024
SIU wins48 – 12
2023
SIU wins33 – 23
2022
Illini wins27 – 21
2021
SIU wins27 – 12
2020
SIU wins26 – 7
2019
SIU wins44 – 35
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Illinois Fighting Illini
35-36 overall2019
6-7
2020
2-6
2021
5-7
2022
8-5AP #12
2023
5-7
2024
9-4
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
Southern Illinois Salukis
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 6:00 PM UTC
Network
Peacock
Stadium
Memorial Stadium