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WEEK 4
PeacockAI Prediction

SIU @ Illinois Fighting Illini

Saturday, September 19, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 54% confidence

Illinois Fighting IlliniWIN PROBABILITYSouthern Illinois Salukis
48%
52%

MODEL PICK

Southern Illinois Salukis

CONFIDENCE

54%

4

Home Edge

2

Neutral

1

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Illini 55/10050/100 Salukis

Illinois Fighting Illini

55/100 — 35-36 over 6 seasons

Southern Illinois Salukis

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

Illinois Fighting Illini rates 55/100 vs SIU at 50/100 — a 5-point gap in program quality.

Illini 0/1000/100 Salukis

Illinois Fighting Illini

0-0 (0% win rate)

Southern Illinois Salukis

0-0 (0% win rate)

Illinois Fighting Illini is 0-0 vs SIU at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

15
2024
SIU wins4812
2023
SIU wins3323
2022
Illini wins2721
2021
SIU wins2712
2020
SIU wins267
2019
SIU wins4435

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Illinois Fighting Illini

35-36 overall
2019
6-7
2020
2-6
2021
5-7
2022
8-5AP #12
2023
5-7
2024
9-4

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

Southern Illinois Salukis

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 19, 6:00 PM UTC

Network

Peacock

Stadium

Memorial Stadium