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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI PredictionUSF @ BGSU
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 62% confidence
Bowling Green FalconsWIN PROBABILITYSouth Florida Bulls
45%
55%
MODEL PICK
South Florida Bulls
CONFIDENCE
62%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Falcons 50/10050/100 Bulls
Bowling Green Falcons
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
South Florida Bulls
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
BGSU rates 50/100 vs USF at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Falcons 0/1000/100 Bulls
Bowling Green Falcons
0-0 (0% win rate)
South Florida Bulls
0-0 (0% win rate)
BGSU is 0-0 vs USF at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
1–5
2024
USF wins29 – 14
2023
USF wins37 – 16
2022
BGSU wins45 – 23
2021
USF wins35 – 26
2020
USF wins39 – 17
2019
USF wins37 – 22
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Bowling Green Falcons
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
South Florida Bulls
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Unknown Stadium