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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI PredictionSC @ Alabama Crimson Tide
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 84% confidence
Alabama Crimson TideWIN PROBABILITYSouth Carolina Gamecocks
64%
36%
MODEL PICK
Alabama Crimson Tide
CONFIDENCE
84%
5
Home Edge
2
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Tide 94/10050/100 Gamecocks
Alabama Crimson Tide
94/100 — 71-12 over 6 seasons
South Carolina Gamecocks
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Alabama Crimson Tide rates 94/100 vs SC at 50/100 — a 44-point gap in program quality.
Tide 0/1000/100 Gamecocks
Alabama Crimson Tide
0-0 (0% win rate)
South Carolina Gamecocks
0-0 (0% win rate)
Alabama Crimson Tide is 0-0 vs SC at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
Tide wins31 – 7
2023
SC wins25 – 21
2022
Tide wins36 – 8
2021
Tide wins28 – 22
2020
SC wins31 – 27
2019
Tide wins25 – 9
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Alabama Crimson Tide
71-12 overall2019
13-2AP #1
2020
13-0AP #1
2021
13-2AP #1
2022
11-2AP #6
2023
12-2AP #4
2024
9-4AP #12
AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons
South Carolina Gamecocks
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Bryant-Denny Stadium