Back to CFB Predictions
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPN+AI PredictionUSA @ TULN
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 62% confidence
Tulane Green WaveWIN PROBABILITYSouth Alabama Jaguars
45%
55%
MODEL PICK
South Alabama Jaguars
CONFIDENCE
62%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Wave 50/10050/100 Jaguars
Tulane Green Wave
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
South Alabama Jaguars
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
TULN rates 50/100 vs USA at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Wave 0/1000/100 Jaguars
Tulane Green Wave
0-0 (0% win rate)
South Alabama Jaguars
0-0 (0% win rate)
TULN is 0-0 vs USA at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
1–5
2024
USA wins38 – 22
2023
USA wins29 – 10
2022
USA wins37 – 28
2021
USA wins45 – 28
2020
TULN wins35 – 31
2019
USA wins39 – 25
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Tulane Green Wave
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
South Alabama Jaguars
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium