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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
TBDAI PredictionSMU @ Louisville Cardinals
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 71% confidence
Louisville CardinalsWIN PROBABILITYSMU Mustangs
59%
41%
MODEL PICK
Louisville Cardinals
CONFIDENCE
71%
6
Home Edge
1
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Cardinals 60/10050/100 Mustangs
Louisville Cardinals
60/100 — 45-29 over 6 seasons
SMU Mustangs
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Louisville Cardinals rates 60/100 vs SMU at 50/100 — a 10-point gap in program quality.
Cardinals 0/1000/100 Mustangs
Louisville Cardinals
0-0 (0% win rate)
SMU Mustangs
0-0 (0% win rate)
Louisville Cardinals is 0-0 vs SMU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
Cardinals wins38 – 25
2023
Cardinals wins49 – 12
2022
Cardinals wins27 – 16
2021
SMU wins26 – 8
2020
Cardinals wins48 – 30
2019
SMU wins45 – 37
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Louisville Cardinals
45-29 overall2019
8-5
2020
4-7
2021
6-6
2022
8-4
2023
10-3AP #11
2024
9-4
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
SMU Mustangs
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 7:30 PM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium