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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 6
MW+AI PredictionSJSU @ HAW
Sunday, October 4, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsWIN PROBABILITYSan José State Spartans
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Warriors 50/10050/100 Spartans
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
San José State Spartans
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
HAW rates 50/100 vs SJSU at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Warriors 0/1000/100 Spartans
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
0-0 (0% win rate)
San José State Spartans
0-0 (0% win rate)
HAW is 0-0 vs SJSU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
HAW wins44 – 20
2023
SJSU wins22 – 10
2022
SJSU wins44 – 15
2021
HAW wins34 – 23
2020
HAW wins23 – 13
2019
HAW wins25 – 9
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
San José State Spartans
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 3:59 AM UTC
Network
MW+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium