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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
BTNAI PredictionSan Diego State Aztecs @ UCLA Bruins
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 51% confidence
UCLA BruinsWIN PROBABILITYSan Diego State Aztecs
50%
50%
MODEL PICK
UCLA Bruins
CONFIDENCE
51%
5
Home Edge
1
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Bruins 63/10060/100 Aztecs
UCLA Bruins
63/100 — 35-34 over 6 seasons
San Diego State Aztecs
60/100 — 50-24 over 6 seasons
UCLA Bruins rates 63/100 vs San Diego State Aztecs at 60/100 — a 3-point gap in program quality.
Bruins 0/1000/100 Aztecs
UCLA Bruins
0-0 (0% win rate)
San Diego State Aztecs
0-0 (0% win rate)
UCLA Bruins is 0-0 vs San Diego State Aztecs at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
1–5
2024
Aztecs wins28 – 11
2023
Aztecs wins29 – 24
2022
Aztecs wins31 – 25
2021
Bruins wins28 – 8
2020
Aztecs wins40 – 32
2019
Aztecs wins31 – 15
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
UCLA Bruins
35-34 overall2019
4-8
2020
3-4
2021
8-4
2022
9-4AP #12
2023
8-5
2024
3-9
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
San Diego State Aztecs
50-24 overall2019
11-3
2020
4-4
2021
12-2
2022
7-6
2023
9-4
2024
7-5
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 11:15 PM UTC
Network
BTN
Stadium
Rose Bowl