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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
BTNAI Prediction

San Diego State Aztecs @ UCLA Bruins

Saturday, September 12, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 51% confidence

UCLA BruinsWIN PROBABILITYSan Diego State Aztecs
50%
50%

MODEL PICK

UCLA Bruins

CONFIDENCE

51%

5

Home Edge

1

Neutral

1

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Bruins 63/10060/100 Aztecs

UCLA Bruins

63/100 — 35-34 over 6 seasons

San Diego State Aztecs

60/100 — 50-24 over 6 seasons

UCLA Bruins rates 63/100 vs San Diego State Aztecs at 60/100 — a 3-point gap in program quality.

Bruins 0/1000/100 Aztecs

UCLA Bruins

0-0 (0% win rate)

San Diego State Aztecs

0-0 (0% win rate)

UCLA Bruins is 0-0 vs San Diego State Aztecs at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

15
2024
Aztecs wins2811
2023
Aztecs wins2924
2022
Aztecs wins3125
2021
Bruins wins288
2020
Aztecs wins4032
2019
Aztecs wins3115

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

UCLA Bruins

35-34 overall
2019
4-8
2020
3-4
2021
8-4
2022
9-4AP #12
2023
8-5
2024
3-9

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

San Diego State Aztecs

50-24 overall
2019
11-3
2020
4-4
2021
12-2
2022
7-6
2023
9-4
2024
7-5

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 12, 11:15 PM UTC

Network

BTN

Stadium

Rose Bowl