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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 2
ESPN+AI PredictionSHSU @ TROY
Saturday, September 5, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Troy TrojansWIN PROBABILITYSam Houston Bearkats
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Troy Trojans
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Trojans 50/10050/100 Bearkats
Troy Trojans
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Sam Houston Bearkats
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
TROY rates 50/100 vs SHSU at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Trojans 0/1000/100 Bearkats
Troy Trojans
0-0 (0% win rate)
Sam Houston Bearkats
0-0 (0% win rate)
TROY is 0-0 vs SHSU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
TROY wins27 – 9
2023
SHSU wins38 – 18
2022
TROY wins46 – 29
2021
TROY wins44 – 16
2020
TROY wins27 – 12
2019
SHSU wins39 – 25
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Troy Trojans
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Sam Houston Bearkats
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium