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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI PredictionSHSU @ Texas Tech Red Raiders
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 63% confidence
Texas Tech Red RaidersWIN PROBABILITYSam Houston Bearkats
55%
45%
MODEL PICK
Texas Tech Red Raiders
CONFIDENCE
63%
4
Home Edge
3
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Raiders 60/10050/100 Bearkats
Texas Tech Red Raiders
60/100 — 38-34 over 6 seasons
Sam Houston Bearkats
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Texas Tech Red Raiders rates 60/100 vs SHSU at 50/100 — a 10-point gap in program quality.
Raiders 0/1000/100 Bearkats
Texas Tech Red Raiders
0-0 (0% win rate)
Sam Houston Bearkats
0-0 (0% win rate)
Texas Tech Red Raiders is 0-0 vs SHSU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
SHSU wins36 – 11
2023
Raiders wins31 – 15
2022
Raiders wins24 – 11
2021
Raiders wins43 – 10
2020
SHSU wins32 – 25
2019
SHSU wins39 – 26
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Texas Tech Red Raiders
38-34 overall2019
4-8
2020
4-4
2021
7-6
2022
8-5
2023
7-6
2024
8-5
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Sam Houston Bearkats
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Jones AT&T Stadium