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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
CBSSNAI PredictionSAC @ FRES
Sunday, September 13, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Fresno State BulldogsWIN PROBABILITYSacramento State Hornets
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Fresno State Bulldogs
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Bulldogs 50/10050/100 Hornets
Fresno State Bulldogs
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Sacramento State Hornets
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
FRES rates 50/100 vs SAC at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Bulldogs 0/1000/100 Hornets
Fresno State Bulldogs
0-0 (0% win rate)
Sacramento State Hornets
0-0 (0% win rate)
FRES is 0-0 vs SAC at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
FRES wins46 – 14
2023
SAC wins24 – 12
2022
FRES wins24 – 16
2021
FRES wins25 – 9
2020
SAC wins32 – 18
2019
FRES wins22 – 8
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Fresno State Bulldogs
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Sacramento State Hornets
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 13, 2:30 AM UTC
Network
CBSSN
Stadium
Unknown Stadium