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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPNUAI PredictionRICH @ NCSU
Friday, September 11, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence
NC State WolfpackWIN PROBABILITYRichmond Spiders
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
NC State Wolfpack
CONFIDENCE
53%
1
Home Edge
6
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Wolfpack 50/10050/100 Spiders
NC State Wolfpack
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Richmond Spiders
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
NCSU rates 50/100 vs RICH at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Wolfpack 0/1000/100 Spiders
NC State Wolfpack
0-0 (0% win rate)
Richmond Spiders
0-0 (0% win rate)
NCSU is 0-0 vs RICH at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
RICH wins45 – 35
2023
RICH wins30 – 20
2022
NCSU wins22 – 9
2021
NCSU wins33 – 19
2020
NCSU wins38 – 12
2019
RICH wins43 – 33
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
NC State Wolfpack
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Richmond Spiders
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Fri, Sep 11, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPNU
Stadium
Unknown Stadium