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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
NBCAI PredictionRICE @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 83% confidence
Notre Dame Fighting IrishWIN PROBABILITYRice Owls
64%
36%
MODEL PICK
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
CONFIDENCE
83%
4
Home Edge
3
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Irish 82/10050/100 Owls
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
82/100 — 66-14 over 6 seasons
Rice Owls
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Notre Dame Fighting Irish rates 82/100 vs RICE at 50/100 — a 32-point gap in program quality.
Irish 0/1000/100 Owls
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
0-0 (0% win rate)
Rice Owls
0-0 (0% win rate)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish is 0-0 vs RICE at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
5–1
2024
Irish wins38 – 28
2023
RICE wins38 – 13
2022
Irish wins25 – 20
2021
Irish wins42 – 13
2020
Irish wins26 – 13
2019
Irish wins29 – 12
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
66-14 overall2019
10-2AP #4
2020
10-2AP #4
2021
11-2AP #5
2022
9-4AP #9
2023
12-2AP #6
2024
14-2AP #1
AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons
Rice Owls
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 7:30 PM UTC
Network
NBC
Stadium
Notre Dame Stadium