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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
NBCAI Prediction

RICE @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Saturday, September 12, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 83% confidence

Notre Dame Fighting IrishWIN PROBABILITYRice Owls
64%
36%

MODEL PICK

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

CONFIDENCE

83%

4

Home Edge

3

Neutral

0

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Irish 82/10050/100 Owls

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

82/100 — 66-14 over 6 seasons

Rice Owls

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

Notre Dame Fighting Irish rates 82/100 vs RICE at 50/100 — a 32-point gap in program quality.

Irish 0/1000/100 Owls

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

0-0 (0% win rate)

Rice Owls

0-0 (0% win rate)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish is 0-0 vs RICE at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

51
2024
Irish wins3828
2023
RICE wins3813
2022
Irish wins2520
2021
Irish wins4213
2020
Irish wins2613
2019
Irish wins2912

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

66-14 overall
2019
10-2AP #4
2020
10-2AP #4
2021
11-2AP #5
2022
9-4AP #9
2023
12-2AP #6
2024
14-2AP #1

AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons

Rice Owls

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 12, 7:30 PM UTC

Network

NBC

Stadium

Notre Dame Stadium