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WEEK 3
ESPN2AI PredictionPenn State Nittany Lions @ TEM
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 70% confidence
Temple OwlsWIN PROBABILITYPenn State Nittany Lions
42%
58%
MODEL PICK
Penn State Nittany Lions
CONFIDENCE
70%
1
Home Edge
2
Neutral
4
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Owls 50/10080/100 Lions
Temple Owls
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Penn State Nittany Lions
80/100 — 60-18 over 6 seasons
TEM rates 50/100 vs Penn State Nittany Lions at 80/100 — a 30-point gap in program quality.
Owls 0/1000/100 Lions
Temple Owls
0-0 (0% win rate)
Penn State Nittany Lions
0-0 (0% win rate)
TEM is 0-0 vs Penn State Nittany Lions at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
Lions wins37 – 17
2023
Lions wins26 – 18
2022
TEM wins44 – 13
2021
Lions wins36 – 22
2020
TEM wins22 – 14
2019
Lions wins46 – 39
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Temple Owls
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Penn State Nittany Lions
60-18 overall2019
11-3AP #7
2020
4-5
2021
11-2AP #4
2022
11-2AP #7
2023
10-3AP #10
2024
13-3AP #4
AP Ranked in 5 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN2
Stadium
Unknown Stadium