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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPN2AI Prediction

Penn State Nittany Lions @ TEM

Saturday, September 12, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 70% confidence

Temple OwlsWIN PROBABILITYPenn State Nittany Lions
42%
58%

MODEL PICK

Penn State Nittany Lions

CONFIDENCE

70%

1

Home Edge

2

Neutral

4

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Owls 50/10080/100 Lions

Temple Owls

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

Penn State Nittany Lions

80/100 — 60-18 over 6 seasons

TEM rates 50/100 vs Penn State Nittany Lions at 80/100 — a 30-point gap in program quality.

Owls 0/1000/100 Lions

Temple Owls

0-0 (0% win rate)

Penn State Nittany Lions

0-0 (0% win rate)

TEM is 0-0 vs Penn State Nittany Lions at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

24
2024
Lions wins3717
2023
Lions wins2618
2022
TEM wins4413
2021
Lions wins3622
2020
TEM wins2214
2019
Lions wins4639

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Temple Owls

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

Penn State Nittany Lions

60-18 overall
2019
11-3AP #7
2020
4-5
2021
11-2AP #4
2022
11-2AP #7
2023
10-3AP #10
2024
13-3AP #4

AP Ranked in 5 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 12, 4:00 PM UTC

Network

ESPN2

Stadium

Unknown Stadium