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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
MW+AI Prediction

ORST @ UTEP

Sunday, September 27, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence

UTEP MinersWIN PROBABILITYOregon State Beavers
48%
52%

MODEL PICK

Oregon State Beavers

CONFIDENCE

55%

1

Home Edge

5

Neutral

1

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Miners 50/10050/100 Beavers

UTEP Miners

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

Oregon State Beavers

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

UTEP rates 50/100 vs ORST at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.

Miners 0/1000/100 Beavers

UTEP Miners

0-0 (0% win rate)

Oregon State Beavers

0-0 (0% win rate)

UTEP is 0-0 vs ORST at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

24
2024
ORST wins4134
2023
ORST wins4640
2022
ORST wins2210
2021
ORST wins4538
2020
UTEP wins3024
2019
UTEP wins227

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

UTEP Miners

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

Oregon State Beavers

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 AM UTC

Network

MW+

Stadium

Unknown Stadium