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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI Prediction

Oregon Ducks @ USC Trojans

Saturday, September 26, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 59% confidence

USC TrojansWIN PROBABILITYOregon Ducks
54%
46%

MODEL PICK

USC Trojans

CONFIDENCE

59%

2

Home Edge

4

Neutral

1

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Trojans 75/10078/100 Ducks

USC Trojans

75/100 — 47-25 over 6 seasons

Oregon Ducks

78/100 — 53-16 over 6 seasons

USC Trojans rates 75/100 vs Oregon Ducks at 78/100 — a 3-point gap in program quality.

Trojans 0/1000/100 Ducks

USC Trojans

0-0 (0% win rate)

Oregon Ducks

0-0 (0% win rate)

USC Trojans is 0-0 vs Oregon Ducks at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

42
2024
Ducks wins2617
2023
Trojans wins4410
2022
Trojans wins3618
2021
Trojans wins2210
2020
Trojans wins4637
2019
Ducks wins4027

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

USC Trojans

47-25 overall
2019
5-7
2020
5-1
2021
11-3AP #7
2022
11-3AP #5
2023
8-5
2024
7-6

AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons

Oregon Ducks

53-16 overall
2019
4-3
2020
4-3
2021
10-4AP #4
2022
10-3AP #6
2023
12-2AP #3
2024
13-1AP #1

AP Ranked in 4 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC

Network

TBD

Stadium

Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum