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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPNAI PredictionOregon Ducks @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 57% confidence
Oklahoma State CowboysWIN PROBABILITYOregon Ducks
53%
47%
MODEL PICK
Oklahoma State Cowboys
CONFIDENCE
57%
2
Home Edge
3
Neutral
2
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Cowboys 70/10078/100 Ducks
Oklahoma State Cowboys
70/100 — 50-26 over 6 seasons
Oregon Ducks
78/100 — 53-16 over 6 seasons
Oklahoma State Cowboys rates 70/100 vs Oregon Ducks at 78/100 — a 8-point gap in program quality.
Cowboys 0/1000/100 Ducks
Oklahoma State Cowboys
0-0 (0% win rate)
Oregon Ducks
0-0 (0% win rate)
Oklahoma State Cowboys is 0-0 vs Oregon Ducks at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
Cowboys wins21 – 10
2023
Ducks wins44 – 33
2022
Cowboys wins38 – 29
2021
Cowboys wins42 – 33
2020
Ducks wins23 – 16
2019
Cowboys wins24 – 9
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Oklahoma State Cowboys
50-26 overall2019
8-4
2020
8-3
2021
12-2AP #4
2022
7-6
2023
7-6
2024
8-5
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
Oregon Ducks
53-16 overall2019
4-3
2020
4-3
2021
10-4AP #4
2022
10-3AP #6
2023
12-2AP #3
2024
13-1AP #1
AP Ranked in 4 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN
Stadium
Boone Pickens Stadium