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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ABCAI PredictionOhio State Buckeyes @ Texas Longhorns
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 51% confidence
Texas LonghornsWIN PROBABILITYOhio State Buckeyes
50%
50%
MODEL PICK
Texas Longhorns
CONFIDENCE
51%
2
Home Edge
4
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Longhorns 79/10091/100 Buckeyes
Texas Longhorns
79/100 — 53-25 over 6 seasons
Ohio State Buckeyes
91/100 — 67-9 over 6 seasons
Texas Longhorns rates 79/100 vs Ohio State Buckeyes at 91/100 — a 12-point gap in program quality.
Longhorns 0/1000/100 Buckeyes
Texas Longhorns
0-0 (0% win rate)
Ohio State Buckeyes
0-0 (0% win rate)
Texas Longhorns is 0-0 vs Ohio State Buckeyes at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
Buckeyes wins25 – 21
2023
Longhorns wins34 – 22
2022
Longhorns wins32 – 9
2021
Buckeyes wins22 – 16
2020
Longhorns wins43 – 14
2019
Buckeyes wins46 – 39
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Texas Longhorns
53-25 overall2019
8-5
2020
7-3
2021
5-7
2022
8-5
2023
12-2AP #3
2024
13-3AP #5
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
Ohio State Buckeyes
67-9 overall2019
13-1AP #3
2020
8-1AP #3
2021
11-2AP #4
2022
13-1AP #3
2023
12-2AP #2
2024
10-2AP #1
AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 11:30 PM UTC
Network
ABC
Stadium
Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium