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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
NBCAI Prediction

Ohio State Buckeyes @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Saturday, September 19, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 58% confidence

Notre Dame Fighting IrishWIN PROBABILITYOhio State Buckeyes
47%
53%

MODEL PICK

Ohio State Buckeyes

CONFIDENCE

58%

1

Home Edge

2

Neutral

4

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Irish 82/10091/100 Buckeyes

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

82/100 — 66-14 over 6 seasons

Ohio State Buckeyes

91/100 — 67-9 over 6 seasons

Notre Dame Fighting Irish rates 82/100 vs Ohio State Buckeyes at 91/100 — a 9-point gap in program quality.

Irish 88/10083/100 Buckeyes

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

14-2 (88% win rate)

Ohio State Buckeyes

10-2 (83% win rate)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish is 14-2 vs Ohio State Buckeyes at 10-2 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

15
2024
Buckeyes wins3529
2023
Buckeyes wins3327
2022
Buckeyes wins3411
2021
Irish wins4641
2020
Buckeyes wins4315
2019
Buckeyes wins4844

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

66-14 overall
2019
10-2AP #4
2020
10-2AP #4
2021
11-2AP #5
2022
9-4AP #9
2023
12-2AP #6
2024
14-2AP #1

AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons

Ohio State Buckeyes

67-9 overall
2019
13-1AP #3
2020
8-1AP #3
2021
11-2AP #4
2022
13-1AP #3
2023
12-2AP #2
2024
10-2AP #1

AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 19, 10:00 PM UTC

Network

NBC

Stadium

Notre Dame Stadium