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WEEK 3
NBCAI PredictionOhio State Buckeyes @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 58% confidence
Notre Dame Fighting IrishWIN PROBABILITYOhio State Buckeyes
47%
53%
MODEL PICK
Ohio State Buckeyes
CONFIDENCE
58%
1
Home Edge
2
Neutral
4
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Irish 82/10091/100 Buckeyes
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
82/100 — 66-14 over 6 seasons
Ohio State Buckeyes
91/100 — 67-9 over 6 seasons
Notre Dame Fighting Irish rates 82/100 vs Ohio State Buckeyes at 91/100 — a 9-point gap in program quality.
Irish 88/10083/100 Buckeyes
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
14-2 (88% win rate)
Ohio State Buckeyes
10-2 (83% win rate)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish is 14-2 vs Ohio State Buckeyes at 10-2 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
1–5
2024
Buckeyes wins35 – 29
2023
Buckeyes wins33 – 27
2022
Buckeyes wins34 – 11
2021
Irish wins46 – 41
2020
Buckeyes wins43 – 15
2019
Buckeyes wins48 – 44
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
66-14 overall2019
10-2AP #4
2020
10-2AP #4
2021
11-2AP #5
2022
9-4AP #9
2023
12-2AP #6
2024
14-2AP #1
AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons
Ohio State Buckeyes
67-9 overall2019
13-1AP #3
2020
8-1AP #3
2021
11-2AP #4
2022
13-1AP #3
2023
12-2AP #2
2024
10-2AP #1
AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 10:00 PM UTC
Network
NBC
Stadium
Notre Dame Stadium