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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 6
TBDAI Prediction

Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa Hawkeyes

Saturday, October 3, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 51% confidence

Iowa HawkeyesWIN PROBABILITYOhio State Buckeyes
50%
50%

MODEL PICK

Ohio State Buckeyes

CONFIDENCE

51%

2

Home Edge

3

Neutral

2

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Hawkeyes 68/10091/100 Buckeyes

Iowa Hawkeyes

68/100 — 48-27 over 6 seasons

Ohio State Buckeyes

91/100 — 67-9 over 6 seasons

Iowa Hawkeyes rates 68/100 vs Ohio State Buckeyes at 91/100 — a 23-point gap in program quality.

Hawkeyes 0/1000/100 Buckeyes

Iowa Hawkeyes

0-0 (0% win rate)

Ohio State Buckeyes

0-0 (0% win rate)

Iowa Hawkeyes is 0-0 vs Ohio State Buckeyes at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

42
2024
Hawkeyes wins2110
2023
Buckeyes wins4433
2022
Hawkeyes wins3829
2021
Hawkeyes wins4233
2020
Buckeyes wins2316
2019
Hawkeyes wins249

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Iowa Hawkeyes

48-27 overall
2019
10-4AP #8
2020
6-2
2021
10-4AP #2
2022
8-5
2023
6-7
2024
8-5

AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons

Ohio State Buckeyes

67-9 overall
2019
13-1AP #3
2020
8-1AP #3
2021
11-2AP #4
2022
13-1AP #3
2023
12-2AP #2
2024
10-2AP #1

AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Oct 3, 4:00 AM UTC

Network

TBD

Stadium

Kinnick Stadium