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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
ESPN+AI PredictionOHIO @ USA
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence
South Alabama JaguarsWIN PROBABILITYOhio Bobcats
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
South Alabama Jaguars
CONFIDENCE
53%
1
Home Edge
6
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Jaguars 50/10050/100 Bobcats
South Alabama Jaguars
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Ohio Bobcats
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
USA rates 50/100 vs OHIO at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Jaguars 0/1000/100 Bobcats
South Alabama Jaguars
0-0 (0% win rate)
Ohio Bobcats
0-0 (0% win rate)
USA is 0-0 vs OHIO at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
USA wins22 – 14
2023
OHIO wins44 – 14
2022
OHIO wins34 – 15
2021
USA wins23 – 15
2020
USA wins25 – 9
2019
OHIO wins35 – 20
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
South Alabama Jaguars
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Ohio Bobcats
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium