Back to CFB Predictions
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
FS1AI PredictionUNI @ Iowa Hawkeyes
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 79% confidence
Iowa HawkeyesWIN PROBABILITYNorthern Iowa Panthers
62%
38%
MODEL PICK
Iowa Hawkeyes
CONFIDENCE
79%
5
Home Edge
1
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Hawkeyes 68/10050/100 Panthers
Iowa Hawkeyes
68/100 — 48-27 over 6 seasons
Northern Iowa Panthers
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Iowa Hawkeyes rates 68/100 vs UNI at 50/100 — a 18-point gap in program quality.
Hawkeyes 0/1000/100 Panthers
Iowa Hawkeyes
0-0 (0% win rate)
Northern Iowa Panthers
0-0 (0% win rate)
Iowa Hawkeyes is 0-0 vs UNI at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
5–1
2024
Hawkeyes wins39 – 27
2023
Hawkeyes wins36 – 14
2022
Hawkeyes wins44 – 29
2021
UNI wins35 – 25
2020
Hawkeyes wins25 – 7
2019
Hawkeyes wins34 – 19
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Iowa Hawkeyes
48-27 overall2019
10-4AP #8
2020
6-2
2021
10-4AP #2
2022
8-5
2023
6-7
2024
8-5
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
Northern Iowa Panthers
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 8:00 PM UTC
Network
FS1
Stadium
Kinnick Stadium