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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI PredictionNIU @ GAST
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence
Georgia State PanthersWIN PROBABILITYNorthern Illinois Huskies
48%
52%
MODEL PICK
Northern Illinois Huskies
CONFIDENCE
55%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Panthers 50/10050/100 Huskies
Georgia State Panthers
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Northern Illinois Huskies
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
GAST rates 50/100 vs NIU at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Panthers 0/1000/100 Huskies
Georgia State Panthers
0-0 (0% win rate)
Northern Illinois Huskies
0-0 (0% win rate)
GAST is 0-0 vs NIU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
NIU wins27 – 10
2023
NIU wins39 – 30
2022
NIU wins32 – 20
2021
GAST wins42 – 38
2020
NIU wins23 – 15
2019
GAST wins23 – 8
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Georgia State Panthers
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Northern Illinois Huskies
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Unknown Stadium